A thermal depression is forming over the East Sea
According to the National Center for Hydro-Meteorological Forecasting, on July 8, a tropical convergence band may form in the middle of the East Sea. From July 9-11, on the tropical convergence band, a low pressure area is likely to form, causing showers and strong thunderstorms in the sea from Binh Thuan to Ca Mau and the middle and southern waters of the East Sea (including Spratly Islands).
Current forecasts show that the above low pressure area is likely to develop into a tropical depression with a probability of about 50-65%. The National Center for Hydro-Meteorological Forecasting said that it is continuing to closely monitor and update daily bulletins with the above weather patterns.
According to the National Center for Hydro-Meteorological Forecasting, after the No. 1 storm, from now until the end of 2022, 9-11 storms and tropical depressions are likely to appear in the East Sea area from now to the end of 2022. There are 4-6 storms that are likely to directly affect the mainland of our country. This number is approximately compared with the multi-year average (TBNN).
From July 9-11, on the tropical convergence band, a low pressure area is likely to form, causing showers and thunderstorms.
From July 9-11, on the tropical convergence band, a low pressure area is likely to form, causing showers and thunderstorms.
However, what is worrisome is that in La Nina years, storms often come at the end of the year, along with the risk of strong, unusual and irregular storms.
In addition, the cold air this year is likely to act early, the temperature in the first winter months in the North is likely to be lower than the average of many years in the same period.
The impact of strong storms, combined with early cold air, and topographical conditions will make the central provinces face the risk of multiple natural disasters, torrential rain and storms, followed by floods. landslides in October-November.
Specifically, it is forecasted that in October, the total rainfall in the North Central region is 10-25% higher than the average, especially in the Central and South Central regions, the prevalence is 30-60% higher, in some places over 70 %. In November, in the Central and South Central regions, the total rainfall is 15-35% higher, with over 40% in some places.
In December, the total rainfall of the whole Central region is generally 10-30% higher than the average of many years. The Central Highlands also faces the risk of torrential rains in the months of October and November with the total common rainfall being 30-60% higher, of which in October, there are over 70% higher places.
Actively respond to tropical depressions
In order to proactively respond to tropical depressions, on July 7, the Standing Office of the National Steering Committee for Natural Disaster Prevention and Control issued Document No. 358 /VPTT to the Commanding Committee for Natural Disaster Prevention and Control. Disaster Prevention) and Search and Rescue (SAR) in coastal provinces and cities from Da Nang to Ca Mau. Accordingly, in order to proactively respond and minimize damage caused by dangerous weather patterns and tropical depressions that are likely to appear at sea in the coming days, the Standing Office of the National Steering Committee for Disaster Prevention and Control recommends that: The Steering Committees for Disaster Prevention and Control and Technical Rescue of provinces and cities implement a number of contents such as:
Closely monitor forecasts and warnings about dangerous weather patterns and tropical depressions that are likely to appear in the East Sea; promptly notify captains, owners of means and ships operating at sea to proactively prevent and ensure the safety of people and property and have an appropriate production plan, maintain communication in order to promptly handle bad situations that may occur; prepare rescue and rescue forces and means to promptly handle situations.
At the same time, strictly perform the duty and regularly report to the Standing Office of the National Steering Committee for Disaster Prevention and Control and the Office of the National Committee for Incident and Disaster Response and Search and Rescue.
The National Steering Committee for Disaster Prevention and Control also suggested that the above mentioned provincial and city Steering Committees for Disaster Prevention and Control and Technical Rescue are interested in organizing the implementation.